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This article will serve as a scratchpad for research on this topic; it may be updated periodically with more information as I come across it. HunchesI haven't read the book yet, but I have two hunches about the author's approach to the problem: (1) My guess is that the author (Chris Mooney) will pursue the old classic socialist tactic of conflating opposition to the government doing X with opposition to X. As Bastiat put it, way back in 1850:
In this case, I suspect we will see Republican refusals to have the government fund this or that -- or allowing voters to decide what gets funded rather than "experts" -- as opposition to science. (2) I suspect the author will employ circular arguments, presuming that major scientific debates of our day -- e.g. human contributions to global warming -- have already been decided in favor of "leftist" views, and then characterizing a failure to agree with those conclusions as opposition to "science" itself, as though "science" was a dogmatic set of conclusions, not an investigative technique with room for various factions to draw differing conclusions from incomplete data. (3) Scientists are human beings -- economic and political animals, in some sense -- like the rest of us. Like everyone, they can tempted, corrupted, and act more out of self-interest than dispassionate interest in the truth. For example, I sometimes the suspect the reason there is so much push to have the government fund embryonic stem cell research is precisely because it so little likely commerical application. (Think about it: if it were really something which was on the verge of promising miracles, why aren't there droves of investors lined up to fund it? Why are the all the scientific proponents lobbying Congress with their hands out?) Following on #2, I expect the author will portray even politically-active scientists -- those undoubtedly most likely to receive the taxpayer's hard-earned dollar -- as impartial abiters, pitted against scientifically ignorant politicians; especially those of a conservative persuasion. Closure of the Office of Technology Assessment (OTA)
There are three things worth pointing out here. (1) As far as I understand it, whether Reagan's so-called "Star Wars" defense system was workable or not, according to the science of the time, was utterly irrelvant. As far as I understood it, SDI ("Star Wars") was simply part of subterfuge to goad the Soviet Union into massive military counter-spending, and ultimately trigger its collapse. (2) Regardless of where the science stood (regarding SDI) it sounds like a legitimate case could be made that the OTA failed to take even minimal steps to avoid the appearance of a conflict of interest:
The chairman of a "unbiased" OTA committee to evaluate SDI was already known to have said suggesting it was "one of the most irresponsible and destructive utterances that a President has made in the nuclear age"? Besides the obvious bias that statement betrays, it also shows how foolish the man making it was. Whatever scientific knowledge he may have had, let's note Bundy's statement was a political one, since he claimed expertise in international relations -- an area where Bundy had no more authority or expertise than I. This is an example of the false authority fallacy, and suggests that Bundy could not distinguish between his own supposed area of expertise and areas in which he had no special knowledge. Somehow, I don't get the feeling Mooney will be letting his readers know this salient little detail; it would tend to look like the OTA was either grossly incompetant at detecting obvious bias, or even preferred a stacked deck. This is funny, because I've cited obvious OTA bias on the very case Mooney chose to imply the OTA was acting in an unbiased manner. (3) Consider this -- that essentially, the reason OTA was eliminated wasn't that Republicans (and Democrats who agreed) were all against science, but rather that the service it provided was arguably redundant:
And again I would ask, is the role of Congress to decide the great scientific questions of our day? Are the people we put there even capable of doing that? Or is the role of Congress rather to carry out the will of the voters, such that scientists (and other would-be beneficiaries) would first have to make an argument to the electorate before funding or policy materialized? I would rather have them be scientifically "wrong"* and keep our democracy, than be scientifically "right" but hand our government over to an unelected cadre of the beknighted scientific elite. [* So often, what is scientifically "wrong" in one era turns out, just a generation later, to have been right. And vise-versa. In the 1970's the prevailing scientific consensus is that we were facing a serious problem from global cooling. Imagine if that had been codified into public policy!] Add your two cents...
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Think about it: if it were really something which was on the verge of promising miracles, why aren't there droves of investors lined up to fund it? Why are the all the scientific proponents lobbying Congress with their hands out?)
Well, first you'd have to be able to patent it.
Second, a lot of good biomedical ideas don't get funding for whatever reason. Inability to make money? Difficulty setting a price on your intellectual property if it's required to save someone's life? Insurance or regulatory difficulties?
Why don't we have widespread use of therapeutic phage (for chronic, non-emergency topical bacterial infections for instance) or chiral asprin?
Why isn't there more therapeutic use of ascorbate (those studies which argue against it's efficacy tend to not reveal the quantitity used in research. When exposed, the amounts are often much smaller than the megadoses needed for immune enhancing effects.)
Posted by: Ryan on March 2, 2006 03:33 PM