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In wake of the Kerry-related "tasing" incident, Steve Graham ruminates about Andrew Meyers' prospects for future fame.
I'm not going to except the whole article, but it's worth a read: Steve's basic argument is that top conservatives "think there are a limited number of conservative job openings out there... every successful conservative obsesses on protecting his little rice ball", but "liberals embrace any leftist who makes it in the media."
Steve's mad about the the death of conservative media, as he sees it:
And of course:
Self-pity aside, Steve has part of a good point: what he's saying is mostly true, I think, but he doesn't seem to be able to identify the underlying cause. He seems to think the problem starts at the top, and works its way down. (Top conservative voices don't make room for new ones.) In contrast, I think the "problem" is mostly a bottom-up one. The AudienceConservatives and liberals -- or the raw people-stuff which might constitute our respective political movements -- are fundamentally different in their desires for political media product, and how they get involved. Christians, for example, historically were quite disinterested in politics: they focused on their families, their businesses, their schools, their churches and potluck dinners. If you look at some of the first conservative clergy who got involved in politics -- guys like Robertson, Falwell, etc. -- you'll find quotes, before the 1970s, where they explain that politics and religion were separate spheres. Even James Dobson (the left's religious Emmanuel Goldstein* du jour) was apolitical until relatively recently. Most Christians, devout Jews, and other would-be conservatives are like this: they try to do good things on a small scale, being salt and light in their own sphere of influence. To the extent they give money to a larger scale, it's for feeding the poor in Africa, homeless shelters, the Salvation Army (which is still apolitical) or to their churches or synagogues, which also generally use it in an apolitical fashion.** It takes a real shock to get conservative Christians involved in politics. Because Christianity focuses on moral responsibility, holiness, and self-examination, adherents aren't quick to blame the problems they're seeing in their corner of the world on someone else -- particularly some obscure decision made in a remote bureaucracy. They're also not typically the kind of people you find out in the streets, noisily agitating for the overthrow of things: they don't typically desire political power, and are suspect of such things. One such shock, however, was Roe v Wade which, some conservative observers argue, singlehandedly created the religious right: all those good churchgoing Catholic Democrats and others who felt that abortion was an atrocity suddenly discovered that the political rug had been yanked right out from under their feet. Millions of babies were being aborted via a radical change in policy which no electorate had approved. This was the tide which Reagan rode to office, a groundswell which changed the Republican party from Gerald Ford's "country club" party (as it was becoming) to the conservative-values party, and also shifted the Democratic Party from the "Catholic / Southern" (Kennedy/Carter) party to the secular-liberal one. The ProductsIn contrast, "progressives" often use politics as a sort of substitute religion, so there's tremendous desire for product. There's no neat document they can read, over and over, to explain what their creed is, because it changes from year to year as political needs change. Was it called "Marxism" once? Many of the same ideas are still popular today, but under a different name. Is war without UN approval, this year, a good thing (as in Kosovo) or an "illegal act" (as in Iraq)? One can't deduce such stances from mere first principles. Surveys repeatedly show "progressives" are less likely to be involved in churches and are less likely to volunteer, so there's undoubtedly a strong need among them for some kind of communion -- and online communities are more necessary among them for filling that niche. The product also needs to be tailored. There's no "black bible" or "Asian bible" or "union members bible" -- good religions (and sound economic principles) are generally universal in scope and application. (The New Testament, for examples, tells readers: "In Christ, there is neither Jew nor Greek." Likewise, business activity benefits all regardless of color, creed, or sexual proclivity.) But political leftism must be sold in flavors: lesbians need to hear a different narrative than the one sold to black activists, which is different still than the narrative ladled out to La Raza members, environmentalists, the American Atheists, or New Agers. So there's a much greater desire and need for customized product. Whereas the right is frequently selling a lack of government, the left is selling the idea the government will solve your problems. You can't easily describe what kind of non-government you desire, but one can endlessly describe new programs and laws which will suit every situation. (And, even better, short-sighted laws and programs, once implemented, fail harmfully, generating the apparent need for even more intervention!) Finally, I'd note that the left and right are selling a fundamentally different product. Writing as a conservative, if I want to get to the bottom of a story, I have to do a lot of reading and listen to both sides. This takes time. So I sometimes save time by finding people who have drawn the same conclusions I've discovered -- guys like Thomas Sowell, John Stossel, Theodore Dalrymple, or Dennis Prager -- and listen to them. What I'm saying is that, in my experience, conservatives are consumers of trust. It takes a long time to get conservatives to trust you, and when they do, brand loyalty can stay for quite a while. In contrast, when I wander over to Kos, I see an ever-shifting narrative (I can't even deduce consistent "progressive" principles from one day to the next) with an ever-expanding cast of players. As long as they offer the party line, as Steve says, they are accepted. And it doesn't matter if they were proven wrong on very, very major things last month, or last year: the audience doesn't care. They just want to hear someone tell them what they want to hear today. They want to feel validated in their views and circumstances. Anyone can validate you. But it takes a long time to earn someone's trust and respect. So I think that's why you see the same old faces over and over in the conservative media. Leftist bookstores sell an endless stream of books with the same titles and themes -- Bush lied, the right is evil, etc. But conservatives tend to be loyal to people they trust, whether it's Dobson, or Prager, or Stossel, or John Lott or whoever. ConclusionSteve's a talented writer (pithier than I am, that's for sure). But trying to become a famous conservative is, and always has been, swimming against the tide. Recall that the first conservative pundits were called "prophets", and they had rather limited career opportunities and low approval ratings. I don't mean that conservative shtick has to be dull: it doesn't. Coulter (when she's not sticking her foot in our mouths) has funny moments, and Steve certainly does too. But the market is limited, and most well-adjusted conservatives (but I repeat myself) have better things to do with their lives than hammer on Democrats' love for Al Sharpton -- however amusing and educational the spectacle may be.
** Unless you belonged to the Presbyterian church in the early 1970s, when tithes were being used to support Angela Davis and other communists. (My father fumed about this.) Liberal churches use tithe money for political ends far more often than their conservative counterparts. There was also a corrective force in the Law, where false prophets had a rather, um, blunt, fate given to them. However, since that fate doesn't really apply... ... and wasn't readily applied back then either. False prophets were extremely popular, and, just as Steve complained, they readily embraced and welcomed anyone who spouts the same line -- so they were quite numerous as well. Big demand creates big supply. They also had support from the richest, most elite people in society. Elijah remarked that Jezebel sponsored almost a thousand false prophets. In the time of Jeremiah, God complains about the echo chamber: "I am against the prophets who steal from one another words supposedly from me... [they] lead my people astray with their reckless lies." (23:30-32)
I'm not sure I agree: isn't Al Gore, in many people's minds, and "established expert" on climate? Wasn't Keynes an "established expert" on economics? Isn't Peter Singer an "established expert" on moral issues? And weren't the false prophets above also the "established experts" on all things religious? I think the problem is more related to your other statement: a view towards truth -- a love (or at least grudging acceptance) versus hatred of it in crucial areas where we might end up being wrong. Posted by: Tim (Random Observations) on September 22, 2007 01:19 PM ... and wasn't readily applied back then either. Yup. I was trying to use an imperfect tense to convey that sense, but it doesn't really work. It's not just not applying now day, but that we've *always* done this. Maybe "has never really been put into force in a lasting manner" was a better way of saying it? isn't Al Gore, in many people's minds, and "established expert" on climate? Wasn't Keynes an "established expert" on economics? Isn't Peter Singer an "established expert" on moral issues? You have a good point there, but they also tend to leave out the past experts and findings. They're the radical new people, and I very rarely see them back up their ideas with anything substantial. Perhaps a better way of phrasing it is: a single vocal opinion that they latch on to rather than listening to people who understand the depth and breadth of the field. Or just listening to those who "know" things rather than those who are wise. Posted by: Michael Zappe on September 22, 2007 04:24 PM Michael Zappe - I think it's a fair problem that Tim is addressing; how do you differentiate the real experts from the fake ones without substantial knowledge of the field? Especially when the field is complex and rapidly changing? It would be pretty silly for me to dismiss relativity or quantum mechanics by saying "Newton didn't believe in it, and he's an established expert." Or just listening to those who "know" things rather than those who are wise. I doubt many people set out to do that, though. Calling a person's mentors "wise" is more of a conclusion than a process for finding good mentors. Posted by: Ryan W. on September 22, 2007 11:11 PM It would be pretty silly for me to dismiss relativity or quantum mechanics by saying "Newton didn't believe in it, and he's an established expert." This was the exact problem which held back Islamic civilization, and, to a lesser extent, Europe. Aristotle was held in such high regard by some groups that it was considered unwise to question him.
To some extent, I agree: People don't come with tattoos on their foreheads saying: "WISE" (Even those, like you, who actually *are* Wise. ;-)) I'm less concerned that people won't "trust me" (or an expert I respect) on some matter which is beyond them. I'm much more concerned about how they do with with the kind of first-step information they themselves should be able to understand, given their own standards and intelligence. For example, if someone quotes a physicist supporting some whacked-out view (like the physicists paraded in "What the Bleep Do We Know?"), and says the man is an "expert", they they are saying they believe in experts. (Note: I don't, but they do.) Then I can point out (and offer documentation) that there are far more physicists who say John Hagelin is a crackpot. (So does their just-asserted belief in "experts" now mean they must reject him? Or at least downgrade the trust given to his assertions, given that other "experts" disagree?) I can also explain how he doctored his studies on meditation. (Pretty much anyone should be able to follow that, and be able to realize that a person who lies in one area of "research" should be distrusted in others.) When this happens, how do people react? Real-life experiments of this sort suggest most people don't really care about "experts", but simply choose their beliefs first (based on what they'd like, or how they want to feel), and then grab whatever argument seems to best re-enforce their desired outlook. This is a phenomenon I've seen described before, somewhere.* Fortunately, it has been my observation that when a person trained in some hard-to-access discipline starts deceiving outsiders, God seems to (this is how I see it) arrange it (or seems to have arranged it) so that they usually *also* make some really obvious mistakes the rest of us can see and understand, and thus be warned. I believe truth is available to everyone, starting from right where we are. I believe it is the task of a wise person to see, for another, where that path of truth might begin, and challenge them to either take the next difficult step, or reveal their utter disinterest. If one is truly interested in the little truths, the big ones will come to you too. But finding truth always involves self-denial, since we don't start out with it already in hand.
[** I wanted to mention this earlier: Part of the Kos phenomenon involves the belief that I am more right if more people agree with my view. If you believe in truth-by-consensus, or morality-by-consensus, you will always seek a larger consensus, which will prove you more right. (Hence the left's endless desire for "communities" of "voices.")*** In contrast, I've gotten to the point, for better or worse, that when someone tells me I'm in the minority (or alone) it causes me to re-check the data, and listen for contrary evidence, but I no longer think it absurd to consider that everyone could be wrong. Everyone is often wrong. (And I am often wrong too, of course.)] [*** This is nothing new: Look again at the story of Jezebel: Why did she need to use so much money to sponsor so many prophets? (A thousand is a huge number, considering how tiny these societies were.) And why did she feel to the need murder any voices who disagreed? Clearly, for her, it was important to have many people agreeing with her, and very few disagreeing.**** This is the same psychological mechanism which causes Communist regimes to kill dissenters, and is also the reason the USSR's leaders later admitted having been deeply demoralized by Reagan calling them an "evil empire." It just takes just one dissenting prophet, one effectively dissenting voice, to screw with such a mindset.] [**** This is one of those points where I notice the bible delineating a real social phenomenon which even my own generation hasn't yet clearly identified.***** It is thus "coded" and "signed" with that information, for those who care to seek and learn.] [***** And they cannot identify it, because they are doing it. This is similar to Girard's observation that the scapegoating process is only effective when it is unconscious. A correlary is that the scapegoating process cannot be unmasked by those doing the scapegoating. I am proposing a second entrant in the same category. There may even be dozens of such mechanisms. I suspect our psychological professionals cannot identify them because they themselves are blinded by them; they hide in plain sight.] Posted by: Tim (Random Observations) on September 23, 2007 10:34 AM Good post. >And, even better, short-sighted laws and programs, once implemented, fail harmfully, generating the apparent need for even more intervention! So true. Progressive have a built in circular support program. Fail, get more money to fix the failure; get even more money to fix the failure to fix, and on and on. It is like an addiction. >They want to feel validated in their views and circumstances. That is possibly the real addiction, inculcated in the self-esteem meme, validation addiction. Failure breeds the need for personal validation, so if we tweak it, maybe it will work and I can be validated. If not, just cut your loses, change course and move on to the next validation event. It is not the ascendancy of ideas and principles, but of look at me, I care, so validate me. I will do whatever it takes. Posted by: William Meisheid on September 27, 2007 12:28 PM Add your two cents...
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Steve's a talented writer (pithier than I am, that's for sure). But trying to become a famous conservative is, and always has been, swimming against the tide. Recall that the first conservative pundits were called "prophets", and they had rather limited career opportunities and low approval ratings.
How true! This one made me laugh out loud.
There was also a corrective force in the Law, where false prophets had a rather, um, blunt, fate given to them. However, since that fate doesn't really apply, most especially in the leftist world, people can change alliances at the blink of an eye, make false predictions, and then re-cast themselves as making new, and better predictions! It all just depends on which doomsday scenario is vogue today.*
While taking a break from writing this post, there's also another telling aspect of this type of dialoge. I've seen many more people with leftist leanings listen to someone they regard as an "authority" without scepticism, and without listening to established experts. (After all, the new kid on the block is just being picked on.) This has ranged from people who argue with me about fundamental physics, who have never taken a math class above algebra. It doesn't matter how often I say "Look, I know math you can only dream of. It would take me a year to get you through a proof of why this is wrong. You're wrong, stop being arrogant and stupid," these people continue to hold on to their beliefs, because it somehow makes them more comfortable in their actions.
That's why a desire for truth is one of the telling aspects of a Christian. After all: "So Jesus said to the Jews who had believed in him, If you abide in my word, you are truly my disciples, and you will know the truth, and the truth will set you free." (Jn 8:31-32)
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*I recently saw an interview with one of the original overpopulation people. I can't find it, but it's amazing how his tune has changed. I wish I could find it again to cite it...
Posted by: Michael Zappe on September 22, 2007 12:50 PM