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"Occam's razor" (a maxim meaning "don't add unnecessary entities", basically) was very much in vogue while I was in college. Sometimes an atheist would trot it out — as though it were actually some scientific principle — as a sort of disproof of God. Strange thing, though, as materialists began to embrace unprovable entities like the multiverse (adding an extra 10^5000th universes, or so), Occam's razor suddenly seemed to disappear. Entities were to be multiplied gratuitously and unflinchingly if they might help dispel the "fine tuning" the universe seemed to display. Those who had once sneered at the idea of adding 'unnecessary' entities were suddenly quite willing to do so to protect their own metaphysical views. So I guess I shouldn't be too surprised that what I first suspected (though gave up on suspecting, when I was told otherwise) turned out, at long last, to be true. Apparently:
The gory details can be found here, with this thought-provoking addendum:
In other words: We probably shouldn't add unnecessary entities, BUT that doesn't mean the simplest answer (the most "parsimonious" assumption) usually turns out to be the one. Odd that I've accepted this: Anyone even remotely familiar with the history of science knows the truth has almost always been otherwise. The "atoms" Democritus hoped for turned out to be composed of still smaller forms (and so on). Cells, we learned, were not simple bags of liquid, but vast, city-like structures which process data at speeds yet unequaled by modern computers. Ptolemy's complicated system of "celestial spheres" were ultimately superseded by Einstein's general and special relativity, which far fewer people are capable of understanding. And quantum physics is bizarre beyond description. This reminds me of the "Copernican Principle", which was similarly fictional, and yet was also elevated to a atheistic metaphysical dogma: no scientific finding must ever imply there's anything interesting or odd about the universe which is particularly conducive to human existence. Man must never been found to be, in any sense, at the "center" of the universe. Yet, in this story behind this myth, also, it was those who came up with the more bizarre-sounding explanations which ultimately proved to be correct. Contrary to the story we hear today, where the idiot churchmen cling to their obviously-wrong Aristotelian dogmas while rejecting a clearly superior model:
Ptolemy's system did a good job of predicting actual planetary motion. Why add apparently unnecessary, and seemingly counter-intuitive, details? Keep in mind that the detailed mathematics necessary to predict planetary motion didn't become available until much later, in Newton's time. (Copernicus published in 1543, Newton in 1687.) For almost 150 years, it seemed that a mathematically detailed model, which made specific predictions (which seemed, by the way, mostly correct), was being challenged by a more vague upstart, one which was unable produce similarly specific and accurate predictions. Another story which was just a bit too good to check. Too bad it shows up so frequently in science textbooks, articles, and seemingly-reputable newspapers. Brilliant linkage! Software engineers are famous for thinking problems are going to be simpler (and more importantly to their management, quicker) to solve than they really are. You know, the whole "God of the Gaps" thing Richard Dawkins pushes is based on this fallacy: As we learned more, the areas of our ignorance, and thus room for God, have rapidly receded. But, to the contrary, as we learned more, larger and larger mysteries appeared. Cells as bags of water aren't all that mysterious. (How many people marvel at the complexity of a water balloon?) But cells as, omigosh, what are they? — supercomputers? cities? vast industrial plants? That's another matter entirely. (I'm increasingly suspecting that if Darwin's theory was only palatable back then because it wasn't yet known how very much like a pocketwatch — and more — a cell truly appeared.) Atoms? Small balls of "matter", that, everyone gets. Apparently endless successions of smaller particles ultimately composed of... nothing? Manifesting causeless actions? Oh, that's weird. And never mind what the Big Bang did for the argument for God, compared with Kant's static, infinitely old universe. But this argument sounds possible to Dawkins because he's steeped in his dogmas. Mysteries have been dispelled. We know everything now. There are no more gaps, apparently, so no more room for gods. Dawkins is on another planet. Posted by: Tim (Random Observations) on July 19, 2009 02:16 AM I stumbled on this blog by accident, I think it was a post you had about exposing the biasness of Wiki. I not read your blog regularly. This post reminds me of something I saw on this blog...xenlogic.wordpress.com/ It's a good blog and I encourage you to check it out if you have time, do a search on God and/or Atheism. He makes similar points to the usage of the famous Razor. Posted by: Brandon M on December 30, 2009 09:44 AM Occam's razor is not a natural scientific principle like the Pauli exclusion principle. It is part of a philosophy of scientific endeavor. The Copernican model was formulated because the Ptolemy model was not sufficient. If we observe the skies and model them as if we are the center of the universe, the skies behave VERY strangely; from the copernican model the math is much simpler. This is distinct from, but related to the Copernican principle (of which I've never heard before) in that everything we observe is not from a point of privelege; this doesn't say anything about fine tuning (though could be bent slightly to misconstrue it as such) Scientific endeavor is largely about what is useful and what is not. One of my favorite quotes "All models are wrong, but some are useful." Relativistic mechanics and quantum mechanics are both wrong, but they are very useful. What does fine tuning model have to offer? And irreducible complexity? This is largely the drive of occam's razor. Why postulate these things if they do not pursue a useful model? Posted by: KG on January 3, 2010 12:13 AM Add your two cents...
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Funny that you mention Ockham's razor – a coworker of mine was quoted a while back as going into a rant "Ockham's razor is pure crap. Anyone working on computers should realize this." This was in reference to an amazingly complex interaction that masqueraded itself as something that looked like it might have a simple answer.
Posted by: MIchael Zappe on July 19, 2009 01:27 AM